Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.000224 0.000250 0.000278 0.000311 0.000347 0.000386 0.000432
2025-02-09 0.000188 0.000224 0.000265 0.000315 0.000375 0.000444 0.000529
2025-02-16 0.000161 0.000203 0.000253 0.000318 0.000400 0.000499 0.000629
2025-02-23 0.000139 0.000184 0.000241 0.000317 0.000418 0.000548 0.000725
2025-03-02 0.000120 0.000166 0.000227 0.000312 0.000430 0.000586 0.000812
2025-03-09 0.000107 0.000153 0.000217 0.000310 0.000444 0.000631 0.000909
2025-03-16 0.000096 0.000143 0.000209 0.000310 0.000461 0.000678 0.001014
2025-03-23 0.000087 0.000134 0.000203 0.000312 0.000479 0.000727 0.001127
2025-03-30 0.000079 0.000125 0.000195 0.000310 0.000491 0.000769 0.001230
2025-04-06 0.000073 0.000119 0.000191 0.000312 0.000509 0.000820 0.001353
2025-04-13 0.000067 0.000113 0.000186 0.000312 0.000525 0.000869 0.001474
2025-04-20 0.000061 0.000106 0.000179 0.000309 0.000532 0.000905 0.001577
2025-04-27 0.000059 0.000105 0.000182 0.000322 0.000571 0.000998 0.001790
2025-05-04 0.000055 0.000101 0.000179 0.000326 0.000595 0.001068 0.001969
2025-05-11 0.000052 0.000097 0.000177 0.000330 0.000617 0.001136 0.002154
2025-05-18 0.000048 0.000092 0.000172 0.000329 0.000631 0.001191 0.002318
2025-05-25 0.000044 0.000086 0.000165 0.000323 0.000636 0.001229 0.002452
2025-06-01 0.000040 0.000082 0.000160 0.000321 0.000647 0.001281 0.002619
2025-06-08 0.000038 0.000078 0.000157 0.000322 0.000663 0.001341 0.002809
2025-06-15 0.000036 0.000075 0.000154 0.000323 0.000681 0.001408 0.003016
2025-06-22 0.000033 0.000071 0.000149 0.000321 0.000691 0.001460 0.003198
2025-06-29 0.000031 0.000069 0.000147 0.000323 0.000710 0.001533 0.003431
2025-07-06 0.000030 0.000066 0.000145 0.000324 0.000727 0.001600 0.003660